Gartner released a list of 10 the most disruptive technologies in the following 4 years.

  • Multicore and hybrid processors
  • Virtualisation and fabric computing
  • Social networks and social software
  • Cloud computing and cloud/Web platforms
  • Web mashups
  • User Interface
  • Ubiquitous computing
  • Contextual computing
  • Augmented reality
  • Semantics

However, to some the list contains just the 10 most popular buzzwords in the last 4 years. Here a good summary and amendments to the list:

 

  • Multicore and hybrid processors: YES, Moore’s law continues – disruption “only” on programming models (but this is huge enough), not as a technology itself. May lead to interesting twists, especially if massively multicore chips compete with well-established giants like Intel.
  • Virtualisation and fabric computing: YES, extremely interesting area, related closely to the above.
  • Social networks and social software: YES, but not for business, collaboration models, huge user datasets will become commodity, not a value proposition on its own, social software will become part of the landscape, same as the ability to print. The ability to innovate and continuously generate value-added services becomes the key.
  • Cloud computing and cloud/Web platforms: YES, related to all of the above.
  • Web mashups: perhaps, but this is too general. Part of the social software and semantic changeover of the landscape.
  • User Interface: perhaps, but nothing major soon.
  • Ubiquitous computing: perhaps, but nothing major soon.
  • Contextual computing: perhaps, but probably not soon.
  • Augmented reality: same as above.
  • Semantics: YES. Surely. Related to social software and other areas where data integration and exchange become essential.
The list does not contain many interesting technologies that have not yet picked up that much interest, but are definitely changing how we operate within the IT landscape: nothing about IP-integration, nothing about pervasive wireless infrastructures, nothing about open source, nothing about asynchronous parallel models of computing. 

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